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Natural gas futures took a tumble aftermost week, crumbling about 15%, afterwards forecasts of bearish acclimate angle aloft some red flags apropos heating demand. On Friday, accustomed gas for January commitment fell 7.2%, to achieve at $3.827 per MMBtu. The arrangement was bottomward 14.7% for the anniversary – the better in about three years.

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Although expectations of milder-than-expected December temperatures hinted at abatement consumption, we accept the commodity is still accurate by a able-bodied abiding advance narrative. As such, we feel contempo weakness is an befalling to buy activity companies with a lot of acknowledgment to accustomed gas.

Natural Gas Rockets College in 2018

Natural gas futures, which aftermost ages rose to its accomplished in four years, alternate adorable assets in 2018, and are still trading decidedly up in the year-to-date, admitting the contempo plunge.

In fact, accustomed gas prices are on a tear. Prices are up about 30% back the alpha of the year and soared 41% aftermost month, authoritative it the market’s best-performing commodity of November. Accustomed gas afresh bankrupt the $4 per MMBtu mark for the aboriginal time in four years with acknowledgment acclimate altitude consistent in able appeal for the heating fuel. Admitting skyrocketing production, accustomed gas entered the winter division with stockpiles at their everyman in 15 years.

Even now, the accepted accumulator charcoal able-bodied beneath benchmarks. At 2.914 abundance cubic anxiety (Tcf), accustomed gas inventories are about 20% beneath the five-year boilerplate and the year-ago figure.

Positive Long-Term Thesis: U.S. & Abroad

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The fundamentals of accustomed gas abide to be favorable in the continued run, because the civil about-face to the cleaner afire ammunition for ability bearing globally and in the Asia-Pacific arena in particular.

The EIA predicts all-around appeal for the commodity to abound 43% from 2015 to 2040. Countries in Asia and in the Middle East – led by China’s alteration abroad from atramentous – will annual for best of this increase. The backup of coal-fired ability plants and college afire from automated projects accept additionally contributed to the backbone in accustomed gas demand.

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At the aforementioned time, accustomed gas has now replaced atramentous as the top best for electricity bearing in the United States. The appeal for cleaner fuels and the commodity’s almost lower amount has catapulted accustomed gas’ allotment of calm electricity bearing to 35%, from 25% in 2011.

New pipelines to Mexico, calm with all-embracing abounding gas consign accessories like Cheniere Energy, Inc.’s LNG Sabine Pass terminal and Dominion Activity Inc.’s D Cove Point consign plant, accept meant that exports out of the U.S. are set for a breakthrough leap. As per the Activity Department, gross abounding accustomed gas exports are set to boilerplate 5.25 Bcf per day in 2019, accretion about 80% from this year. Apart from surging exports, college afire from automated projects will acceptable ensure able accustomed gas demand.

Natural Gas Roadmap for 2019

Yes, accustomed gas had a abundant 2018 (till now that is) but what about 2019? Will history echo itself?

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While it’s adamantine to adumbrate whether accustomed gas will arise afresh abutting year, there’s acumen to accept that 2019 could be an accomplished one for accustomed gas stocks. In particular, if the accepted (2018-2019) winter turns out to be colder than normal, the billow in accepted appeal — in the face of about arrears of accustomed gas account — could activate a ample assemblage in the commodity’s price.

The able year-to-date assemblage and the achievability of added amount assets does not necessarily announce that every accustomed gas scrip would be a astute pick. To adviser investors to the appropriate picks, we highlight four stocks that backpack a Zacks Rank of #1 (Strong Buy) or #2 (Buy). You can see the complete account of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.

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Our Choices

Cabot Oil & Gas Corporation COG: It is affianced in high-impact accustomed gas-focused conduct in the Marcellus Shale. The Houston, TX-based stock, which currently has a Zacks Rank #1, is a accustomed gas authentic play. The aggregation has an accepted balance advance of 20.1% for the abutting year. Over 60 days, the aggregation has apparent the Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2019 access 21%.

SilverBow Resources, Inc. SBOW: This Houston, TX-headquartered oil and gas charlatan — focused on the Eagle Ford shale amid in South Texas — additionally has a Zacks Rank #1. The aggregation has an accepted balance advance of 67.3% for the abutting year. Over 60 days, the aggregation has apparent the Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2019 access 21.8%.

Story continues

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Archrock, Inc. AROC: Archrock is a arch amateur in the accustomed gas compression and manual business. The Houston, TX-based aggregation has an accepted balance advance of 48.2% for the abutting year. Over 60 days, the Zacks Rank #2 aggregation has apparent the Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2019 access 10.2%.

TransCanada Corporation TRP: Calgary, Alberta-based TransCanada is primarily focused on accustomed gas manual through its 57,100-mile arrangement of pipelines amid in Canada, the United States, and Mexico. The aggregation has an accepted balance advance of 3.4% for the abutting year. Over 60 days, the Zacks Rank #2 aggregation has apparent the Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2019 access 5.4%.

In accession to the stocks discussed above, would you like to apperceive about our 10 top tickers to buy and authority for the absoluteness of 2019?

These 10 are agilely adopted from over 4,000 companies covered by the Zacks Rank. They are our primary picks assertive to beat in the year ahead. Be amid the aboriginal to see the new Zacks Top 10 Stocks >>

Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Abutting 30 Days. Bang to get this chargeless report Dominion Activity Inc. (D) : Chargeless Banal Analysis Report Archrock, Inc. (AROC) : Chargeless Banal Analysis Report TransCanada Corporation (TRP) : Chargeless Banal Analysis Report Cheniere Energy, Inc. (LNG) : Chargeless Banal Analysis Report Cabot Oil & Gas Corporation (COG) : Chargeless Banal Analysis Report SilverBow Resources Inc. (SBOW) : Chargeless Banal Analysis Report To apprehend this commodity on Zacks.com bang here. Zacks Investment Research

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